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Article 1 - Volume 29/1 - 2019

Paper title:

Severe winters during the Maunder Minimum and large scale drivers in Eastern Europe

Author(s):

1 Department of Geography, Ștefan cel Mare University, Suceava, Romania
2 Stable Isotope Laboratory, Ștefan cel Mare University, Suceava, Romania
3 Institute for Geological and Geochemical Research, Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary
4 Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany

Pages:

01 - 11

Publishing date:

04 June 2019

Abstract:

In this study we have developed an index which accounts for the occurrence of extreme cold winters based on documentary index and their social impact from Eastern Europe, over the Maunder Minimum period. In total, 41 harsh winters were extracted for the period from AD 1645-1715, and it’s the longest one, on record, over this area. Our investigation shows that the harsh winters occurrence rate is variable in the three areas of Eastern Europe and it`s spans in two periods: the Early Maunder Minimum (EMM) and the Late Maunder Minimum (LMM). The results obtained show that the number years of harsh winters has increased considerably during the EMM (AD 1645– 1665) and have an occurrence rate ~ 0.83/year. During the LMM we observe a small decrease in the occurrence rate (~ 0.52/year). However, during the transition period between EMM and LMM in Ukraine and southwestern part of Russia the harsh winter occurrence rate (from ~ 0.15/year to ~ 0.45/year) show the maximum (~ 0.45/year), in opposition to the Carpathian regions where the minimum is recorded. The opposite trend in the harsh winter occurrence rate could be the product of different action of large-scale atmospheric circulation or the Carpathian Mountains barriers.

Keywords:

severe winters, documentary data, Maunder Minimum, Eastern Europe, large - scale atmospheric circulation.