Drought vulnerability in the Danube basin, the Czech Republic and the Republic of Moldova in 2022
Author(s):
Tudor TRIFAN1, Vera POTOPOVÁ1
1 Department of Agroecology and Crop Protection, Faculty of Agrobiology, Food and Natural Resources, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
This study delves into assessing drought vulnerability using a
comprehensive framework. By leveraging the Drought Vulnerability Index
(DVI), the study explores the intricate dynamics within the basin. The
exposure component scrutinizes the region's susceptibility to agricultural
drought through the SPEI-3 index for the year 2022, coupled with a
nuanced analysis of population density across 151 administrative units
NUTS-3 from the Danube Basin, Czech Republic and the Republic of
Moldova. Sensitivity analysis encompasses critical factors such as the share
of crop area from ESRI Land Cover Explorer, the proportion of the aged
population (aged 65+), and the prevalence of poverty rates (PPP 2018).
Moreover, the evaluation of adaptive capacity incorporates the GDP per
capita in $ for each administrative region, shedding light on the region's
resilience to mitigate drought impacts. This research offers a holistic
perspective on drought vulnerability, emphasizing the need for targeted
interventions and adaptive strategies in the study area to enhance
resilience and sustainability in the face of changing climatic conditions.